Medical Radiology and Radiation Safety. 2015. Vol. 60. No. 6. P. 20-26

RADIATION EPIDEMIOLOGY

L.N. Belyh, A.P. Biryukov, E.V. Vasiliev, V.P. Nevzorov

Assessment of Lifetime Radiogenic Risk of Cancer Mortality and Morbidity

A.I. Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center of FMBA, Moscow, Russia, e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To describe in detail the construction of additive models of lifetime radiation risk for cancer mortality and cancer incidence. The model is based on the assumption that the time of death is a continuous random variable that can be parameterized as a risk function.

Results: In this article the additivity of risks was proved. The authors defined a function of survival in conditions of radiation. A rigorous mathematical assessment of lifetime risk of radiation that causes death and disease was received.

Conclusion: The mathematical apparatus evaluating lifetime risk is versatile and may be useful for risk assessment of independent factors of a different nature. The results estimation of lifetime radiation risk structurally coincides with the estimations of experts from UNSCEAR.

Key words: lifetime radiation risk, additive models, mortality, morbidity

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For citation: Belyh LN, Biryukov AP, Vasiliev EV, Nevzorov VP. Assessment of Lifetime Radiogenic Risk of Cancer Mortality and Morbiditv. Medical Radiology and Radiation Safety. 2015;60(6):20-6. Russian.

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